Running the Interim Scenario

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Effect of Switch Time in the Interim Scenario

Here, we present our data from an experiment similar to the one outlined on the previous slide. To the explore the effect of switch time, we vary the change to MV from day 1 to day 51:


Figure 4. Interim Scenario: Effect of Switching Time

We chose to measure the number of casualties on day 200. By this point in time, the number of casualties is already practically equal to the assymptotic value (less than one person is in non-final states) Notice how the number of casualties steadily increases as the switch in policies is delayed.

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